Mission: Axel Adler Jr. is committed to providing high-quality financial research and market analysis for educational and informational purposes. Our goal is to empower investors, traders, and enthusiasts worldwide with insights into cryptocurrency and macroeconomic trends, helping them make more informed decisions. All content on this website – including our Adler AM briefs, Adler Strategy framework, and Adler's Crypto Insights reports – is presented in a manner intended to educate and inform, not to direct or advise individual financial actions.
Nature of Our Content
We produce several types of content, each designed with an educational focus:
Adler AM (Morning Briefs)
A free short-form briefing published 5 times a week in the mornings, focusing on "only what can move Bitcoin today" – including on-chain metrics, futures market data, fund flows, and macroeconomic news. Adler AM distills complex market information into an accessible update to keep readers informed of the day's key signals and developments.
Adler Strategy
A comprehensive Bitcoin market strategy methodology that uses multiple key on-chain metrics to assess the balance of supply and demand in the Bitcoin network and to identify optimal entry and exit points in the market cycle. The strategy divides the market into six phases (from deep value to overheated conditions) and combines several confirming indicators to minimize false signals. It also integrates risk management rules – for example, a guideline that an investor allocate no more than 10% of their portfolio to this strategy.
Educational Intent: Adler Strategy is shared to illustrate how data-driven analysis can inform investment timing; it serves as a teaching example of a rules-based investment approach, rather than a personalized investment plan for any specific individual.
Adler's Crypto Insights
An in-depth weekly report analyzing the digital asset markets. Each issue provides a thorough overview of the week's market status, including analysis of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks, traditional market influences (like stock market trends), on-chain data updates, and developments in spot and futures markets. The report culminates in an update on the Adler Strategy's current status and a general recommendation or outlook rating for the upcoming week. It often includes general guidance (such as highlighting increased risk or opportunity) and reiterates risk management principles (e.g., cautioning readers about appropriate position sizing).
Educational Intent: This report is akin to a research commentary you might find in institutional analysis, meant to educate readers on how to interpret various market indicators and to provide a case study in applying the Adler Strategy in real-world conditions.
Key Principles of Our Educational Content
Information, Not Advice
All materials are provided for general information and education. We emphasize that we are not acting as personal financial advisors or providing individualized investment advice. The content we present — whether it's a market trend observation, an interpretation of an on-chain metric, or a strategic suggestion — should be used as a learning tool and a starting point for your own further research. It is not a directive or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any asset.
General Audience
Our analyses and explanations are written for a broad global audience with an interest in finance and cryptocurrency. They do not take into account anyone's personal objectives, financial situation, or risk tolerance. For example, if we discuss how Bitcoin's on-chain data signals a certain phase of the market cycle, that discussion is meant to educate readers on market dynamics — it is not a personalized signal telling you as an individual investor what to do. You should consider your own circumstances or consult a professional before making personal financial decisions.
Basis in Research and Data
The content is based on our research, data analysis, and industry experience. We utilize reputable data sources (for instance, on-chain analytics platforms, economic data releases, and company reports) and strive to interpret them objectively. When we describe a strategy or indicator, we often provide historical context or backtesting results to illustrate concepts. However, keep in mind that all such analysis is inherently subject to uncertainties and the limitations of historical data. We endeavor to be accurate as of the time of writing, but markets are fluid and information can become outdated. Part of the educational value is understanding that financial knowledge evolves and why continuous learning and critical thinking are important in finance.
Transparency of Perspective
Any opinions expressed (such as a bullish or bearish outlook on the market) are our own informed viewpoints, not definitive predictions. We aim to be transparent about the reasoning behind our views, so readers can learn the process of analysis. We may sometimes discuss both the potential upside and the risks or downside in a situation, to provide a balanced educational perspective.
No Professional or Client Relationship
Your use of our website and content does not create any client-advisor or professional relationship between you and Axel Adler Jr. We are not your investment advisor, and providing you with educational content does not mean we are managing your investments or assuming any fiduciary duty to you. We encourage you to regard us as one of many resources in your financial education journey — a publisher of research — rather than as a personal mentor who knows your unique situation.
How to Use Our Content
Recommended Approach
Do:
- Use Adler AM briefs to stay aware of daily market movers and to identify which factors can influence asset prices in the short term
- Use Adler Strategy content to learn how one might construct a rules-based investment strategy and what kinds of indicators can be useful for long-term decision-making
- Use Adler's Crypto Insights to delve deeper into market analysis and see an example of how to combine multiple data points (macro, technical, on-chain) into a cohesive market view
We often include charts, data tables, and definitions of technical terms in our content to aid understanding. We strive to break down complex concepts (like on-chain metrics or option market signals) into clear language. If you come across any concept that isn't clear, we encourage you to research further or reach out with questions. Part of our educational mission is to help demystify finance and crypto for our readers.
What Not to Do
Do not:
- Do not treat any content as a direct investment instruction. For example, if our report indicates that Bitcoin appears undervalued in a certain phase, this is not us telling you to go buy Bitcoin now – it's illustrating a concept of how undervaluation might be identified. Always contextualize our insights within your own analysis and consider consulting a financial advisor for advice tailored to you.
- Do not assume infallibility or guaranteed outcomes. No matter how rigorous the analysis, there is always a risk in financial markets. Past patterns or relationships we discuss may not persist. If we reference a historical return (like the potential "5×" return of a strategy over a certain period), remember this is historical or theoretical and not a promise of future performance. Use such references to understand concepts (e.g., compounding, risk/reward) rather than as expected results.
- Do not skip your own due diligence. Education means engaging with the material. We hope our research prompts you to ask questions, double-check data, and explore alternative viewpoints. The best financial decisions are made when you, the reader, critically evaluate all available information. Treat our content as one piece of the puzzle, not the entire picture.
Commitment to Educational Integrity
We are dedicated to maintaining the integrity and independence of our educational content. This means:
- We base our analysis on data and evidence. If we make an assumption or express an opinion, we try to clarify that stance and what it's based on.
- We update our perspectives when the data changes. The field of crypto and finance is fast-moving; what was true last month might shift with new market developments. We strive to keep our content up-to-date and will issue clarifications or follow-ups in subsequent briefs and reports if needed.
- We welcome feedback and discourse. If you, as a reader, spot an error, have a different interpretation of the data, or want to discuss a concept further, we encourage you to contact us. Intellectual exchange is part of the educational process. We may not be able to reply to every message, but we value constructive input and may incorporate reader questions into frequently asked questions or future content.
No Endorsement & Global Audience
Axel Adler Jr. operates on an independent basis. We do not receive compensation from third parties to promote specific assets or products in our educational content. If ever we were to include a sponsored segment or affiliate link, it would be clearly disclosed, but as a general rule, our analyses are driven by our own research interests and what we believe will benefit our readers' understanding.
Our audience spans multiple countries and jurisdictions. We aim to keep our language accessible and avoid region-specific jargon when possible. However, financial regulations and norms differ internationally. Nothing in our content is meant to violate or circumvent any laws in any country. We are mindful that in some jurisdictions providing certain kinds of financial commentary could be regulated; thus, we emphasize that our work is analytical commentary and not personalized or specific investment advice. We trust our readers to consume our content in accordance with the laws applicable to them. If you're reading our material from a location where such content might be restricted or require licensing on our part, please understand that we provide it from a general research standpoint and not as solicitation.
Continuous Learning
By using our website, you acknowledge that you understand the educational nature of our content. Finance and investing are domains of continuous learning – even experts are always students of the market. We encourage you to use Axel Adler Jr.'s content as a springboard for your own further education. Verify information across multiple sources, practice critical thinking, and perhaps most importantly, learn by doing (safely) – for instance, using simulators or small-scale experiments to see how strategies play out, always within a risk level you can afford.
Remember, the purpose of our content is not just to tell you "what's happening" in markets, but to help you learn how to think about what's happening. We hope you find value in our research and that it contributes meaningfully to your financial learning journey. Thank you for being a part of our community of learners and market enthusiasts!