Daily Bitcoin analysis focused on market structure, liquidity flows, and macro signals. Adler AM is updated 5× per week - clear insights, no noise.
STH Realized Price sits at $85,831 vs BTC at $66,946. YoY turned negative for first time since 2022. SOPR below 1.0 for 110+ days.
LTH SOPR dropped below 1.0 in late February while net positions stay positive. Accumulation holds - but forced selling pressure is building.
Bitcoin ETF funds absorbed +63,000 BTC in 30 days. Weekly inflow pace is 2.6x the monthly average. STH holders remain underwater at -15.5K BTC/day.
Miner OTC balances sit near multi-year lows at 152K BTC, while exchange inflow 30DMA stays elevated. What this mixed signal means for Bitcoin supply pressure.
Exchange Whale Ratio spiked above its averages while the 100-1K BTC band hit 80% of inflow. Two signals point to rising large-seller pressure.
Bitcoin realized price map reveals three key levels: ETF resistance at $80K, whale decision zone at $68K, and deep structural support at $47K.
Bitcoin Net Realized PnL hits cycle lows while Supply Active 30D Change compresses. Selling exhaustion signal - watch for PnL 7DMA reversal.
USDC+USDT exchange inflow fell to 0.68x annual norm. Market cap reversed from -$8.1B to +$4.5B. Watch for 30DMA to cross $4.05B as the bull trigger.
Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score dropped 74% from its October peak. aSOPR below 1.0 for 55 days straight. Overheating is gone - sellers aren't done yet.
Bitcoin Integrated Market Index reaches 96 - a 30-day high - as taker flow reversal ends 178 hours of Bear Regime. Price trades at $3,453 premium above Fair Value.
🎧 Morning Brief #125- audio debate on today’s market setup Morning Brief 1250:00/404.3493881× The last active selling pressure signal from the Sell-side Risk Ratio was recorded
Bitcoin LTH Realized Supply at 8.05M BTC, Z-Score 2.66, down 5.5% from peak. Cycle comparison with C2016 and C2020 - key signals for March 2026.
