LTH Selling at a Loss: January Accumulation Enters the Risk Zone
LTH SOPR dropped below 1.0 in late February while net positions stay positive. Accumulation holds - but forced selling pressure is building.
Bitcoin market structure analysis: trend shifts, key levels, liquidity zones, and positioning signals. Clear BTC structure insights from Adler AM.
LTH SOPR dropped below 1.0 in late February while net positions stay positive. Accumulation holds - but forced selling pressure is building.
Bitcoin ETF funds absorbed +63,000 BTC in 30 days. Weekly inflow pace is 2.6x the monthly average. STH holders remain underwater at -15.5K BTC/day.
Exchange Whale Ratio spiked above its averages while the 100-1K BTC band hit 80% of inflow. Two signals point to rising large-seller pressure.
Bitcoin realized price map reveals three key levels: ETF resistance at $80K, whale decision zone at $68K, and deep structural support at $47K.
Bitcoin Net Realized PnL hits cycle lows while Supply Active 30D Change compresses. Selling exhaustion signal - watch for PnL 7DMA reversal.
Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score dropped 74% from its October peak. aSOPR below 1.0 for 55 days straight. Overheating is gone - sellers aren't done yet.
ETF flows turned positive after February's capitulation, but the cohort stays underwater. Realized Price at $79,962 is the key resistance to watch.
Bitcoin Integrated Market Index reaches 96 - a 30-day high - as taker flow reversal ends 178 hours of Bear Regime. Price trades at $3,453 premium above Fair Value.
🎧 Morning Brief #125- audio debate on today’s market setup Morning Brief 1250:00/404.3493881× The last active selling pressure signal from the Sell-side Risk Ratio was recorded
Bitcoin LTH Realized Supply at 8.05M BTC, Z-Score 2.66, down 5.5% from peak. Cycle comparison with C2016 and C2020 - key signals for March 2026.
Bitcoin Net Taker Volume SMA-7D reversed from -1.66 to +0.18 in under two weeks - buyers dominate for 3 days straight. Yet funding rates closed negative 23 of last 30 days. Reversal or trap?
BTC trades 24% below STH realized price ($88.9K) while LTH cost basis holds at $52.9K. On-chain redistribution structure, key levels and triggers.