Yields Brake Growth, BTC Basis Dropped to Zero
UST10Y shows local growth, Bitcoin basis has dropped to zero.
2 min read
Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief
Data-driven insights into Bitcoin’s market structure, flows, and macro drivers. Updated 5× per week.
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Institutions Taking Profits, New Players Buying
ETFs show outflows of -$250M per day, but new investors continue entering - the divergence signals redistribution of coins from large holders to retail.
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Bitcoin Under Pressure at risk-off Threshold
The composite risk oscillator remains one step away from a risk-off signal, while STH-SOPR confirms unprofitable selling.
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Market Experiencing Stress, Price Holds Above $100K
Profit/loss and local stress indicators simultaneously point to market tension, but price remains above $100K.
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Featured
STH Selling at a Loss, Futures Momentum Weak
Short-term holders continue selling at a loss but the volume of unprofitable sales has decreased.
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LTHs are Taking Profits, Growth Limited Until Distribution Completes
Long-term holders have sold 810K BTC since July, further growth requires completion of the current distribution wave.
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The Fed Eased Policy, but Powell Gave No Guarantee for December
The Fed cut rates and completed its quantitative tightening program, against this backdrop Bitcoin declined to local support levels.
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Bitcoin Under Volatility Pressure Ahead of Fed Meeting
The Fed is in an easing phase, today's meeting expected to cut rates by 25 bp, Bitcoin testing support at $112.3K amid volatility surge to 54%. TL;
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Local Bullish Reversal Confirmed by Structure and Market Sentiment
Bull-Bear Structure Index rose above zero for the first time since October 12 -market dynamics and sentiment have synchronously turned bullish. TL;DR Technical reversal confirmed: both indicators in positive
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Gold Under Pressure from Trade Negotiations, Bitcoin in Consolidation
Progress in US-China dialogue reduced demand for safe-haven assets, gold testing $4.07K, the first cryptocurrency holding key levels ahead of central bank decisions. TL;DR Bitcoin consolidating near $115K
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Bitcoin Volatility Deceleration
Bitcoin volatility remains elevated but progress toward deceleration has emerged following the spike.
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Bitcoin Volatility Surged to 95%, Market in Liquidation Mode
Over the past 24 hours, volatility has surged to 95%, with liquidations occurring in both directions on the derivatives market.
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