Bitcoin Strategy & Market Analysis
Bitcoin Strategy & Market Analysis
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Aggressive Sellers Dominate, but Price Holds for Now
Bitcoin consolidates around $88–89K amid sustained sell-side pressure in derivatives markets. Two charts show synchronized deterioration in both cumulative pressure and current momentum.
3 min read
LTH Reduced Selling to Minimum Levels - Indicator Signals Accumulation
Bitcoin LTH Distribution Pressure Index drops to -1.628, entering Accumulation zone. Long-term holders reduce selling to 221 BTC/day despite sitting in profit.
3 min read
Bitcoin Exchange Netflow: What It Is and How to Use It
Exchange Netflow definition, calculation method, and historical signals. Learn how this metric warned of BTC tops and bottoms before price moved.
5 min read
Stress Isn't Over: Short-Term Holders Underwater
Market in stress mode: short-term holders are underwater and their cost basis is declining. This is pressure from above, but not capitulation - the buffer to critical levels remains sufficient.
2 min read
Supply in Profit Compressing: Window for Bullish Cross Is Open
Supply in Profit compresses to 13.5M BTC. SMA30/SMA90 convergence analysis and bullish cross forecast. Critical price levels and scenarios for Feb-Mar 2026.
3 min read
Capitulation Behind Us: Seller Pressure Down 80%
This brief compares the current loss regime to November's capitulation. Core thesis: the market has already passed through peak stress, seller pressure is structurally exhausted, and conditions for a local recovery are forming.
3 min read
Capital Continues to Leave the Network, Weekly Net Flow Remains Negative
This brief confirms the continuation of a negative capital flow regime: the weekly average in negative territory indicates that loss-making sales outweigh profitable ones. Until the 7dMA reaches zero, the market remains in a risk zone.
3 min read
Bitcoin Dropped 20% Over the Past 3 Months and 10% Year-over-Year
Bitcoin lost about one-fifth of its value over the past 3 months and shows negative annual performance. Price structure relative to moving averages and monthly RSI help determine whether this remains a correction within the cycle or signals a deeper reversal.
2 min read
Bitcoin STH SOPR: What It Is and How to Use It
STH SOPR definition: measures if Short-Term Holders sell Bitcoin at profit or loss. Formula, real examples of capitulation signals, and how to spot market bottoms.
5 min read
Short-Term Holder Market Enters Rare Pressure Balance Phase
Short-term holder Net Pressure has dropped into the bottom 5% of its distribution. Price is trading below STH Realized Price, leading to equalization of buying and selling pressure.
2 min read
Short-Term Holders Underwater, Sentiment Confirms Market Weakness
Sentiment and on-chain structure are synchronously pointing to market weakness. Short-term holders are underwater, and all key nearby support levels have turned into resistance.
2 min read