Over the past week, Bitcoin rose from $76.5K to $84.0K. Bitcoin Regime Score moved into bullish territory twice, but both surges were brief. The model’s signals now nearly cancel each other out.
TL;DR
Bitcoin Regime Score returned to +5, while Confidence fell to 22%. The model shows no sustained bullish or bearish edge.
Bitcoin Regime Score
Over the past week, Bitcoin rose from $76.5K to $84.0K. Bitcoin Regime Score responded with two brief surges: it reached +52 on September 19 and +64 on September 22, briefly entering Strong Bull territory. It then returned close to zero, even though price held on to most of its weekly gains.
The Score does not currently confirm a sustained bullish regime. Another move above +30 would carry more weight if the Score stayed in bullish territory and the model’s signals became more aligned. A drop below -30 would indicate that bearish signals have gained the upper hand.
Bitcoin Regime Confidence
Bitcoin Regime Confidence shows how clear the model’s signal is. A low reading means some market data point to gains while other data point to losses. When Confidence rises, the model’s signals become more aligned, though they can align in either a bullish or bearish direction. Over the past 24 hours, the reading fell from 50% to 22%, approaching its monthly low of 19%.
For now, the opposing signals nearly cancel each other out. That is why Bitcoin Regime Score is close to zero despite the rise in price over the past week.
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FAQ
If Bitcoin Regime Score is near zero, does that mean the market is calm? No. A reading near zero means the model’s signals are balanced. It says nothing about how volatile the price is.
Did the move into Strong Bull territory on September 22 confirm a regime change? No. The Score stayed above +60 for only a few hours and returned to neutral territory the next day.
Conclusions
Bitcoin is trading at $84.0K, 3.7% below its monthly high of $87.2K. Price held on to most of its weekly gains, but Bitcoin Regime Score returned to neutral and Confidence fell to 22%.
The model offers no clear directional signal right now. A sustained Score above +30 alongside rising Confidence would strengthen the bullish signal. A move back below -30 alongside rising Confidence would indicate a stronger bearish signal.
Live Charts
Explore the metrics behind this brief with live, auto-updating charts:
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