STH Under Heavy Pressure: MVRV Signals Capitulation
Short-term holders are realizing losses and sitting on average 25% below their cost basis.
3 min read
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Bitcoin Hash Ribbons: Capitulation Signals & Buy Triggers
ash Ribbons use 30/60-day hashrate MAs to detect miner capitulation. Learn the buy signal rule, historical accuracy (64%), and how to confirm with Puell Multiple.
4 min read
Reserves Reversing: +34K BTC Returned to Exchanges from Lows
Exchange reserves reversed from lows and increased by 34K BTC over two weeks. Supply growth amid weak price action is a negative signal for short-term dynamics.
3 min read
Unrealised Loss Hits 22%: Pressure Builds, but No Capitulation Yet
Unrealised losses tripled since January, SOPR Ratio dropped 40% from peaks - market in mid-cycle stress phase, but no signs of mass capitulation.
3 min read
Bitcoin Puell Multiple: Definition, Formula & Miner Signals
Complete guide to the Bitcoin Puell Multiple indicator: formula, interpretation zones, historical cycle signals, and how to combine it with Hash Ribbons and Miner Reserve data for smarter investment decisions.
13 min read
Bitcoin Stress Index at Peak: Market Absorbs the Shock
Synchronized collapse in flows and stress spike point to capitulation. The key question is whether the market can hold $76K.
2 min read
Bitcoin Supply in Profit: Definition, Thresholds & Market Signals
Learn what Supply in Profit measures, critical threshold levels (95%, 75%, 50%), historical cycle patterns, and how to use it for risk management.
9 min read
Extreme Long Liquidations Without Capitulation: Funding Rate Remains Positive
Long liquidations dominated: 96.7%, oscillator at extreme; 30D SMA = 31.4%. Funding remains positive: 43.2% annualized, demand for long exposure is not broken - risk of repeated squeeze on new downside impulses persists.
4 min read
Fed and On-Chain Flows: Why Risk Is Decreasing
The Fed left rates unchanged, rhetoric remained hawkish - the market did not see a quick "pivot." Against this backdrop, STH Realized Cap continues to decline and has dropped below $600B (approximately $599.8B).
3 min read
Bearish Momentum Weakens, Fed to Set the Market Rhythm
Today's FOMC is the key macro trigger, while BTC's internal structure has already improved over recent days. If financial conditions do not tighten, the bounce may solidify, but if the dollar and yields strengthen, the market will quickly return to defensive mode.
3 min read
Realized Profit vs Unrealized Profit: What's the Difference?
Understand the UTXO mechanics behind realized vs unrealized profit, how NUPL is built, and how to use these signals for Bitcoin market cycle analysis.
9 min read
New Record Derivatives Pressure, but Price Holds
New 30-day pressure low, but price held. Buyers absorbing supply at key support.
4 min read