Volatility has fallen 31% in July, leverage is declining: liquidation cascade risk has decreased
Realized volatility sits in the bottom 10% since 2016 while OI/market cap falls for 21 days. Leverage is exiting; watch the 200DMA at 72,666.
Bitcoin derivatives analysis covering futures, options, funding rates, open interest, and leverage. Trader-focused BTC signals from Adler AM.
Realized volatility sits in the bottom 10% since 2016 while OI/market cap falls for 21 days. Leverage is exiting; watch the 200DMA at 72,666.
Taker Order Pressure flipped to +4.1 while Liquidation Pressure sits at -55.2: the 3.1% rally is real demand, not a short squeeze.
BTC open interest fell 12% in 24h and the pressure index broke below its 30-day average — deleveraging, not new shorts. Watch the 58 reclaim.
Bitcoin taker flow stays negative as CVD compresses 70%. A brief July 8 rally was erased by a $92.7M sell wave. Watch the $62K level and CVD zero.
Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for $216M, its largest sale ever. Price held near $63K but derivatives positioning cooled sharply into bearish territory.
Bitcoin futures moved back above spot for the first time in a month and positioning turned green — early signs of returning risk appetite.
Net taker volume hit +68M while Bitcoin open interest fell 22K BTC. Demand without leverage - watch the 62K reclaim to confirm risk-on.
Bitcoin Net Taker Volume has stalled at zero while long liquidations dominate at +18.4%. With no buyer demand, BTC's path of least resistance points lower.
Bitcoin bounced from $60K to $65.6K on returning taker demand, not a short squeeze. Funding Rate stayed positive 10 days straight - watch for overheating.
Bitcoin bounced 3.7% off $60K, but Open Interest fell 6% with positive funding - a short-covering rebound, not new leverage. Watch OI for confirmation.
Bitcoin Impulse has collapsed to -59 while 30-day taker demand just turned negative. Momentum leads; watch the Bear line for confirmation.
Bitcoin's May rally has unwound to the $70K zone as exchange netflows flipped to inflows and long liquidations dominate. Watch 30D netflow for a turn.