Deep Bitcoin on-chain analysis: supply dynamics, holder behavior, exchange flows, and key indicators. Actionable BTC insights from Adler AM.
Bitcoin realized price map reveals three key levels: ETF resistance at $80K, whale decision zone at $68K, and deep structural support at $47K.
Bitcoin Net Realized PnL hits cycle lows while Supply Active 30D Change compresses. Selling exhaustion signal - watch for PnL 7DMA reversal.
USDC+USDT exchange inflow fell to 0.68x annual norm. Market cap reversed from -$8.1B to +$4.5B. Watch for 30DMA to cross $4.05B as the bull trigger.
Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score dropped 74% from its October peak. aSOPR below 1.0 for 55 days straight. Overheating is gone - sellers aren't done yet.
ETF flows turned positive after February's capitulation, but the cohort stays underwater. Realized Price at $79,962 is the key resistance to watch.
STH Profitability Ratio tracks if recent BTC buyers are in profit. A 1.0 cross signals a regime shift - learn the rules and filter false signals.
🎧 Morning Brief #125- audio debate on today’s market setup Morning Brief 1250:00/404.3493881× The last active selling pressure signal from the Sell-side Risk Ratio was recorded
UTXO Age Bands show each cohort's cost basis by holding duration. Learn to read rising vs. falling bands, spot support levels, and filter false signals.
Bitcoin LTH Realized Supply at 8.05M BTC, Z-Score 2.66, down 5.5% from peak. Cycle comparison with C2016 and C2020 - key signals for March 2026.
STH and LTH Realized Price are the two cost-basis layers that define bull and bear structure in Bitcoin. Learn the crossover signal, current levels, and how to trade each zone.`
BTC trades 24% below STH realized price ($88.9K) while LTH cost basis holds at $52.9K. On-chain redistribution structure, key levels and triggers.
STH Realized Price = avg cost basis of coins held under 155 days. Above it = bull structure. Below = bear. Formula, live data, 4 cycle examples.
