Deep Bitcoin on-chain analysis: supply dynamics, holder behavior, exchange flows, and key indicators. Actionable BTC insights from Adler AM.
New Investor Flow turned negative at -$1.2B as fresh demand fades. BTC leans on Adjusted Realized Price at $58.4K — the line to hold before $46.7K.
Bitcoin's second capitulation wave peaked near $1.4B, almost half February's $2.6B. Seller exhaustion builds as the P/L ratio sits deep in capitulation.
Bitcoin SSRR hit the red zone at $60K as supply in loss overtook profit. CVDD marks the structural floor near $48K, the key downside level to watch.
BTC exchange inflows hit +114K while stablecoin flow fell to -105M. Supply up, demand fading - the structural cause of Bitcoin's 22% drop.
Puell Multiple 30DMA drops to 0.74 as miner revenue compresses. How current stress compares to 2018 and 2022 bottoms, and key levels to watch next.
Realized Cap 30D Change falls to -1.1% as $12B leaves the Bitcoin network. aSOPR below 1 for 13 days confirms capitulation. Key trigger: aSOPR above 1.0.
Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score cooled to 0.32 as net realized losses ran 22 straight days. Stress is real but valuation already reset; watch losses ease to zero.
Bitcoin tests its $62K February low as net realized losses hit $7B. The $54K aggregate cost basis is the final support before full capitulation.
Bitcoin's May rally has unwound to the $70K zone as exchange netflows flipped to inflows and long liquidations dominate. Watch 30D netflow for a turn.
Bitcoin realized volatility fell 56% to multi-year lows as market cap grows slower than realized cap. A coiled, de-risked setup. Watch the 200-day average.
BlackRock withdrew 7,048 BTC from IBIT while Strategy-linked wallets sent 411 BTC to Coinbase Prime. Supply is moving closer to the order book.
Bitcoin 30D net flow flips positive at +103K BTC as stablecoins drain from exchanges. Double risk-off signal - what triggers a regime change.
